Tagged "records"
3 articles on this topic.
Four Years of Quarterly Notes: What the Record Shows
I have written a note every quarter since 2021. Read end to end, the pattern in my own errors is more consistent than I expected.
September 8, 2026, 3 minReading Old Predictions, Including My Own
I scored five years of my own forecasts. The results were humbling in a specific and useful way.
July 22, 2026, 2 minHow I Handle Being Wrong in Public
I publish method, which means publishing the failures. Three rules I use for writing about my own mistakes without making them useless.
July 1, 2026, 2 min